February 25, 2001
Jonathan Lebed: Stock Manipulator, S.E.C. Nemesis -- and 15
By MICHAEL LEWIS
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Photograph by Katy Grannan | | |
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Photograph by Katy Grannan | | When he isn't doing business, Jonathan, left, likes to shoot pool with John DiPrenda and Jared Glugeth. |
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n Sept. 20,
2000, the Securities and Exchange Commission settled its case against a
15-year-old high-school student named Jonathan Lebed. The S.E.C.'s news
release explained that Jonathan -- the first minor ever to face
proceedings for stock-market fraud -- had used the Internet to promote
stocks from his bedroom in the northern New Jersey suburb of Cedar
Grove. Armed only with accounts at A.O.L. and E*Trade, the kid had
bought stock and then, "using multiple fictitious names," posted
hundreds of messages on Yahoo Finance message boards recommending that
stock to others. He had done this 11 times between September 1999 and
February 2000, the S.E.C. said, each time triggering chaos in the stock
market. The average daily trading volume of the small companies he
dealt in was about 60,000 shares; on the days he posted his messages,
volume soared to more than a million shares. More to the point, he had
made money. Between September 1999 and February 2000, his smallest
one-day gain was $12,000. His biggest was $74,000. Now the kid had
agreed to hand over his illicit gains, plus interest, which came to
$285,000. When I first read the newspaper reports last
fall, I didn't understand them. It wasn't just that I didn't understand
what the kid had done wrong; I didn't understand what he had done. And
if the initial articles about Jonathan Lebed raised questions -- what
did it mean to use a fictitious name on the Internet, where every name
is fictitious, and who were these people who traded stocks naively
based on what they read on the Internet? -- they were trivial next to
the questions raised a few days later when a reporter asked Jonathan
Lebed's lawyer if the S.E.C. had taken all of the profits. They hadn't.
There had been many more than the 11 trades described in the S.E.C's
press release, the lawyer said. The kid's take from six months of
trading had been nearly $800,000. Initially the S.E.C. had demanded he
give it all up, but then backed off when the kid put up a fight. As a
result, Jonathan Lebed was still sitting on half a million dollars.
At length, I phoned the Philadelphia office of the S.E.C., where I
reached one of the investigators who had brought Jonathan Lebed to
book. I was maybe the 50th journalist he'd spoken with that day, and
apparently a lot of the others had had trouble grasping the finer
points of securities law. At any rate, by the time I asked him to
explain to me what, exactly, was wrong with broadcasting one's private
opinion of a stock on the Internet, he was in no mood. "Tell me about the kid." "He's a little jerk." "How so?" "He is exactly what you or I hope our kids never turn out to be." "Have you met him?" "No. I don't need to." edar
Grove is one of those Essex County suburbs defined by the fact that it
is not Newark. Its real-estate prices rise with the hills. The houses
at the bottom of each hill are barely middle class; the houses at the
top might fairly be described as opulent. The Lebeds' house sits about
a third of the way up one of the hills. When I arrived one
afternoon not long ago, the first person to the door was Greg Lebed,
Jonathan's 54-year-old father. Black hair sprouted in many directions
from the top of his head and joined together somewhere in the middle of
his back. The curl of his lip seemed designed to shout abuse from a
bleacher seat. He had become famous, briefly, when he ordered the
world's media off his front lawn and said, "I'm proud of my son."
Later, elaborating on "60 Minutes," he said, "It's not like he was out
stealing the hubcaps off cars or peddling drugs to the neighbors."
He led me to the family dining room, and without the slightest help
from me, worked himself into a lather. He got out a photocopy of
front-page stories from The Daily News. One side had a snapshot of Bill
and Hillary Clinton beside the headline "Insufficient Evidence' in
Whitewater Case: CLINTONS CLEARED"; the other side had a picture of
Jonathan Lebed beside the headline "Teen Stock Whiz Nailed." Over it
all was scrawled in Greg's furious hand, "U.S. Justice at Work." "Look at that!" he shouted. "This is what goes on in this country!"
Then, just as suddenly as he had erupted, he went dormant. "Don't
bother with me," he said. "I get upset." He offered me a seat at the
dining-room table. Connie Lebed, Jonathan's 45-year-old mother, now
entered. She had a look on her face that as much as said: "I assume
Greg has already started yelling about something. Don't mind him; I
certainly don't." Greg said testily, "It was that goddamn computer what was the problem."
"My problem with the S.E.C.," said Connie, ignoring her husband, "was
that they never called. One day we get this package from Federal
Express with the whatdyacallit, the subpoenas inside. If only they had
called me first." She will say this six times before the end of the
day, with one of those marvelous harmonicalike wails that convey a
sense of grievance maybe better than any noise on the planet. If only they'da caaaawwwwlled me.
"The wife brought that goddamn computer into this house in the first
place," Greg said, hurling a thumb at Connie. "Ever since that computer
came into the house, this family was ruined." Connie absorbed
the full frontal attack with an uncomprehending blink, and then said to
me, as if her husband had never spoken: "My husband has a lot of anger.
He gets worked up easily. He's already had one heart attack."
She neither expects nor receives the faintest reply from him. They obey
the conventions of the stage. When one of them steps forward into the
spotlight to narrate, the other recedes and freezes like a statue. Ten
minutes into the conversation, Jonathan slouched in. Even that verb
does not capture the mixture of sullenness and truculence with which he
entered the room. He was long and thin and dressed in the prison
costume of the American suburban teenager: pants too big, sneakers
gaping, a pirate hoop dangling from one ear. He looked away when he
shook my hand and said "Nice to meet you" in a way that made it clear
that he couldn't be less pleased. Then he sat down and said nothing
while his parents returned to their split-screen narration. At
first glance, it was impossible to link Jonathan in the flesh to
Jonathan on the Web. I have a file of his Internet postings, and
they're all pretty bombastic. Two days before the FedEx package arrived
bearing the S.E.C.'s subpoenas, for instance, he logged onto the
Internet and posted 200 separate times the following plug for a company
called Firetector (ticker symbol FTEC): "Subj: THE MOST UNDERVALUED STOCK EVER "Date: 2/03/00 3:43pm Pacific Standard Time "From: LebedTG1 "FTEC is starting to break out! Next week, this thing will EXPLODE. . . . "Currently FTEC is trading for just $2 1/2! I am expecting to see FTEC at $20 VERY SOON. "Let me explain why. . . .
"Revenues for the year should very conservatively be around $20
million. The average company in the industry trades with a price/sales
ratio of 3.45. With 1.57 million shares outstanding, this will value
FTEC at . . . $44. "It is very possible that FTEC will see
$44, but since I would like to remain very conservative . . . my
short-term target price on FTEC is still $20! "The FTEC
offices are extremely busy. . . . I am hearing that a number of HUGE
deals are being worked on. Once we get some news from FTEC and the word
gets out about the company . . . it will take-off to MUCH HIGHER
LEVELS! "I see little risk when purchasing FTEC at these
DIRT-CHEAP PRICES. FTEC is making TREMENDOUS PROFITS and is trading
UNDER BOOK VALUE!!!" And so on. The author of that and dozens
more like it now sat dully at the end of the family's dining-room table
and watched his parents take potshots at each other and their
government. There wasn't an exclamation point in him. not long
after his 11th birthday, Jonathan opened an account with America
Online. He went onto the Internet, at least at first, to meet other
pro-wrestling fans. He built a Web site dedicated to the greater glory
of Stone Cold Steve Austin. But about the same time, by watching his
father, he became interested in the stock market. In his 30-plus years
working for Amtrak, Greg Lebed had worked his way up to middle manager.
Along the way, he accumulated maybe $12,000 of blue-chip stocks. Like
half of America, he came to watch the market's daily upward leaps and
jerks with keen interest. Jonathan saved him the trouble. When
he came home from school, he turned on CNBC and watched the
stock-market ticker stream across the bottom of the screen, searching
it for the symbols inside his father's portfolio. "Jonathan would sit
there for hours staring at them," Connie said, as if Jonathan is miles
away. "I just liked to watch the numbers go across the screen," Jonathan said. "Why?" "I don't know," he said. "I just wondered, like, what they meant."
At first, the numbers meant a chance to talk to his father. He would
call his father at work whenever he saw one of his stocks cross the
bottom of the television screen. This went on for about six months
before Jonathan declared his own interest in owning stocks. On Sept.
29, 1996, Jonathan's 12th birthday, a savings bond his parents gave him
at birth came due. He took the $8,000 and got his father to invest it
for him in the stock market. The first stock he bought was America
Online, at $25 a share -- in spite of a lot of adverse commentary about
the company on CNBC. "He said that it was a stupid company and
that it would go to 2 cents," Jonathan chimed in, pointing at his
father, who obeyed what now appeared to be the family rule and sat
frozen at the back of some mental stage. AOL rose five points in a
couple of weeks, and Jonathan had his father sell it. From this he
learned that a) you could make money quickly in the stock market, b)
his dad didn't know what he was talking about and c) it paid him to
exercise his own judgment on these matters. All three lessons were
reinforced dramatically by what happened next. What happened
next was that CNBC -- which Jonathan now rose at 5 every morning to
watch -- announced a stock-picking contest for students. Jonathan had
wanted to join the contest on his own but was told that he needed to be
on a team, and so he went and asked two friends to join him. Thousands
of students from across the country set out to speculate their way to
victory. Each afternoon CNBC announced the top five teams of the day.
To get your name read out loud on television, you obviously opted for
highly volatile stocks that stood a chance of doing well in the short
term. Jonathan's team, dubbing itself the Triple Threat, had a
portfolio that rose 51 percent the first day, which put them in first
place. They remained in the Top 3 for the next three months, until in
the last two weeks of the contest they collapsed. Even a fourth-place
finish was good enough to fetch a camera crew from CNBC, which came and
filmed the team in Cedar Grove. The Triple Threat was featured in The
Verona-Cedar Grove Times and celebrated on television by the Cedar
Grove Township Council. "From then, everyone at work started asking me if Jonathan had any stock tips for them," said Greg. "They still ask me," said Connie. y
the Spring of 1998, Jonathan was 13, and his ambitions were growing. He
had glimpsed the essential truth of the market: that even people who
called themselves professionals are often incapable of independent
thought and that most people, though obsessed with money, have little
ability to make decisions about it. He knew what he was doing, or
thought he did. He had learned to find everything he wanted to know
about a company on the Internet; what he couldn't find, he ran down in
the flesh. It became part of Connie Lebed's life to drive her son to
various corporate headquarters to make sure they existed. He also
persuaded her to open an account with Ameritrade. "He'd done so well
with the stock contest, I figured, Let's see what he can do," Connie
said. What he did was turn his $8,000 savings bond into
$28,000 inside of 18 months. During the same period, he created his own
Web site devoted to companies with small market capitalization -- penny
stocks. The Web site came to be known as Stock-dogs.com. ("You know,
like racing dogs.") Stock-dogs.com plugged the stocks of companies
Jonathan found interesting or that people Jonathan met on the Internet
found interesting. At its peak, Stock-dogs.com had maybe 1,500 visitors
a day. Even so, the officers of what seemed to Jonathan to be serious
companies wrote to him to sell him on their companies. Within a couple
of months of becoming an amateur stock-market analyst, he was in the
middle of a network of people who spent every waking hour chatting
about and trading stocks on the Internet. The mere memory of this
clearly upset Greg. "He was just a little kid," he said. "These people who got in touch with him could have been anybody." "How do you know?" said Jonathan. "You've never even been on the Internet." "Suppose some hacker comes in and steals his money!" Greg said. "Next day, you type in, and you got nothing left."
Jonathan snorted. "That can't happen." He turned to me. "Whenever he
sees something on TV about the Internet, he gets mad and disconnects my
computer phone line." "Oh, yeah," Connie said, brightening as
if realizing for the first time that she lived in the same house as the
other two. "I used to hear the garage door opening at 3 in the morning.
Then Jonathan's little feet running back up the stairs." "I haven't ever even turned a computer on!" Greg said. "And I never will!" "He just doesn't understand how a lot of this works," explained Jonathan patiently. "And so he overreacts sometimes."
Greg and Connie were born in New Jersey, but from the moment the
Internet struck, they might as well have just arrived from Taiwan. When
the Internet landed on them, it redistributed the prestige and
authority that goes with a general understanding of the ways of the
world away from the grown-ups and to the child. The grown-ups now
depended on the child to translate for them. Technology had turned them
into a family of immigrants. "I know, I know," Greg said,
turning to me. "I'm supposed to know how it works. It's the future. But
that's his future, not mine!" "Anyway," Connie said, drifting back in again. "That's when the S.E.C. called us the first time." The first time?
Jonathan was 14 when Connie agreed to take him to meet with the S.E.C.
in its Manhattan offices. When he heard the news, Greg, of course, hit
the roof and hopped on the high-speed train to triple bypass. "He'd
already had one heart attack," Connie explained and started to go into
the heart problems all over again, inspiring Greg to mutter something
about how he wasn't the person who brought the computer into the house
and so it wasn't his responsibility to deal with this little nuisance.
At any rate, Connie asked Harold Burk, her boss at Hoffmann-La Roche,
the drug company where she worked as a secretary, to go with her and
Jonathan. Together, they made their way to a long conference table in a
big room at 7 World Trade Center. On one side of the table, five
lawyers and an examiner from the S.E.C.; on the other, a 14-year-old
boy, his mother and a bewildered friend. This is how it began: S.E.C.: Does Jonathan's father know he's here today? Mrs. Lebed: Yes. S.E.C.: And he approves of having you here? Mrs Lebed: Right, he doesn't want to go. S.E.C.: He's aware you're here. Mrs. Lebed: With Harold. S.E.C.: And that Mr. Burk is here.
Mrs Lebed: He did not want to -- this whole thing has upset my husband
a lot. He had a heart attack about a year ago, and he gets very, very
upset about things. So he really did not want anything to do with it,
and I just felt like -- Harold said he would help me. The
S.E.C. seemed to have figured out quickly that they are racing into
some strange mental cul-de-sac. They turned their attention to Jonathan
or, more specifically, his brokerage statements. S.E.C.: Where did you learn your technique for day trading? Jonathan: Just on TV, Internet. S.E.C.: What TV shows? Jonathan: CNBC mostly -- basically CNBC is what I watch all the time S.E.C.: Do you generally make money on your day trading?
Jonathan: I usually don't day trade; I just try to -- since I was home
these days and I was very bored, I wanted something to do, so I was
just trading constantly. I don't think I was making money. . . . S.E.C.: Just looking at your April statement, it looks like the majority of your trading is day trading. Jonathan: I was home a lot that time. Mrs. Lebed: They were on spring vacation that week.
Having established and then ignored the boy's chief motive for trading
stocks -- a desire to escape the tedium of existence -- the authorities
then sought to discover his approach to attracting attention on the
Internet. S.E.C.: On the first page [referring to a hard
copy of Jonathan's Web site, Stock-dogs.com] where it says, "Our 6- to
12-month outlook, $8," what does that mean? The stock is selling less
than 3 but you think it's going to go to 8. Jonathan: That's our outlook for the price to go based on their earnings potential and a good value ratio. . . . S.E.C.: Are you aware that there are laws that regulate company projections? Jonathan: No.
Eventually, the S.E.C. people crept up on the reason they had noticed
Jonathan in the first place. They had been hot on the trail of a
grown-up named Ira Monas, one of Jonathan Lebed's many Internet
correspondents. Monas, eventually jailed on unrelated charges, had been
employed in "investor relations" by a number of small companies. In
that role, he had fed Jonathan Lebed information about the companies,
some of which turned out to be false and some of which Jonathan had
unwittingly posted on Stock-dogs.com. The S.E.C. asked if
Monas had paid Jonathan to do this and thus help to inflate the price
of his company's stocks. Jonathan said no, he had done it for free
because he thought the information was sound. The S.E.C. then expressed
its doubt that Jonathan was being forthright about his relationship
with Monas. One of the small companies Monas had been hired to plug was
a cigar retail outlet called Havana Republic. As a publicity stunt,
Monas announced that the company -- in which Jonathan came to own
100,000 shares -- would hold a "smoke-out" in Midtown Manhattan.
The S.E.C. now knew that Jonathan Lebed had attended the smoke-out. To
the people across the table from Jonathan, this suggested that his
relationship with a known criminal was deeper than he admitted. S.E.C.: So you decided to go to the smoke-out? Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: How did you go about that? Jonathan: We walked down the street and took a bus. S.E.C.: Who is "we." Jonathan: Me and my friend Chuck. S.E.C.: O.K. Jonathan: We took a bus to New York. S.E.C.: You cut school to do this?
Jonathan: It was after school. Then we got picked up at Port Authority,
so then my mother and Harold came and picked us up and we went to the
smoke-out. S.E.C.: Why were you picked up at the Port Authority? Jonathan: Because people like under 18 across the country, from California. . . . Mrs. Lebed: They pick up minors there at Port Authority. S.E.C.: So the cops were curious about why you were there? Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: And they called your mother? Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: And she came. Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: You went to the smoke-out. Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: Did you see Ira there? Jonathan: Yes. S.E.C.: Did you introduce yourself to Ira? Jonathan: No.
Here, you can almost here the little sucking sound on the S.E.C.'s side
of the table as the conviction goes out of this line of questioning. S.E.C.: Why not? Jonathan: Because I'm not sure if he knew my age, or anything like that, so I didn't talk to anyone there at all.
This mad interrogation began at 10 in the morning and ended at 6 in the
evening. When it was done, the S.E.C. declined to offer legal advice.
Instead, it said, "The Internet is a grown-up medium for grown-up-type
activities." Connie Lebed and Harold Burk, both clearly unnerved,
apologized profusely on Jonathan's behalf and explained that he was
just a naive child who had sought attention in the wrong place.
Whatever Jonathan thought, he kept to himself. hen I came home that day, I closed the Ameritrade account," Connie told me. "Then how did Jonathan continue to trade?" I asked. Greg then blurted out, "The kid never did something wrong," "Don't ask me!" Connie said. "I got nothing to do with it."
"All right," Greg said, "here's what happened. When Little Miss Nervous
over here closes the Ameritrade account, I open an account for him in
my name with that other place, E*Trade." I turned to Jonathan, who wore his expression of airy indifference. "But weren't you scared to trade again?" "No." "This thing with the S.E.C. didn't even make you a little nervous?" "No." "No?" "Why should it?" oon
after he agreed to defend Jonathan Lebed, Kevin Marino, his lawyer,
discovered he had a problem. No matter how he tried, he was unable to
get Jonathan Lebed to say what he really thought. "In a conversation
with Jonathan, I was supplying way too many of the ideas," Marino says.
"You can't get them out of him." Finally, he asked Jonathan and his
parents each to write a few paragraphs describing their feelings about
how the S.E.C. was treating Jonathan. Connie Lebed's statement took the
form of a wailing lament of the pain inflicted by the callous
government regulators on the family. ("I am also upset as you know that
I was not called.") Greg Lebed's statement was an angry screed directed
at both the government and the media. Jonathan's statement --
a four-page e-mail message dashed off the night that Marino asked for
it -- was so different in both tone and substance from his parents'
that it inspired wonder that it could have been written by even the
most casual acquaintance of the other two. It began:
"I was going over some old press releases about different companies.
The best performing stock in 1999 on the Nasdaq was Qualcomm (QCOM).
QCOM was up around 2000% for the year. On December 29th of last year,
even after QCOM's run from 25 to 500, Paine Webber analyst Walter
Piecky came out and issued a buy rating on QCOM with a target price of
1,000. QCOM finished the day up 156 to 662. There was nothing
fundamentally that would make QCOM worth 1,000. There is no way that a
company with sales under $4 billion, should be worth hundreds of
billions. . . . QCOM has now fallen from 800 to under 300. It is no
longer the hot play with all of the attention. Many people were able to
successfully time QCOM and make a lot of money. The ones who had bad
timing on QCOM, lost a lot of money. "People who trade stocks,
trade based on what they feel will move and they can trade for profit.
Nobody makes investment decisions based on reading financial filings.
Whether a company is making millions or losing millions, it has no
impact on the price of the stock. Whether it is analysts, brokers,
advisors, Internet traders, or the companies, everybody is manipulating
the market. If it wasn't for everybody manipulating the market, there
wouldn't be a stock market at all. . . ." As it happens, those
last two sentences stand for something like the opposite of the
founding principle of the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission. To a very great extent, the world's financial markets are
premised on a black-and-white mental snapshot of the American investor
that was taken back in 1929. The S.E.C. was created in 1934, and the
big question in 1934 was, How do you reassure the public that the stock
market is not rigged? From mid-1929 to mid-1932, the value of the
stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange had fallen 83 percent,
from $90 billion to about $16 billion. Capitalism, with reason, was not
feeling terribly secure. To the greater public in 1934, the
numbers on the stock-market ticker no longer seemed to represent
anything "real," but rather the result of manipulation by financial
pros. So, how to make the market seem "real"? The answer was to make
new stringent laws against stock-market manipulation -- aimed not at
ordinary Americans, who were assumed to be the potential victims of any
manipulation and the ones who needed to be persuaded that it was not
some elaborate web of perceptions, but at the Wall Street elite. The
American financial elite acquired its own police force, whose job it
was to make sure their machinations did not ever again unnerve the
great sweaty rabble. That's not how the S.E.C. put it, of course. The
catch phrase used by the policy-making elites when describing the
S.E.C.'s mission was "to restore public confidence in the securities
markets." But it amounted to the same thing. Keep up appearances, so
that the public did not become too cautious. It occurred to no one that
the public might one day be as sophisticated in these matters as
financial professional.s nyone
who paid attention to the money culture could see its foundation had
long lay exposed, and it was just a matter of time before the termites
got to it. From the moment the Internet went boom back in 1996, Web
sites popped up in the middle of nowhere -- Jackson, Mo.; Carmel,
Calif. -- and began to give away precisely what Wall Street sold for a
living: earning forecasts, stock recommendations, market color. By the
summer of 1998, Xerox or AT&T or some such opaque American
corporation would announce earnings of 22 cents a share, and even
though all of Wall Street had predicted a mere 20 cents and the company
had exceeded all expectations, the stock would collapse. The amateur
Web sites had been saying 23 cents. Eventually, the Bloomberg
News Service commissioned a study to explore the phenomenon of what
were now being called "whisper numbers." The study showed the whisper
numbers, the numbers put out by the amateur Web sites, were mistaken,
on average, by 21 percent. The professional Wall Street forecasts were
mistaken, on average, by 44 percent. The reason the amateurs now held
the balance of power in the market was that they were, on average, more
than twice as accurate as the pros -- this in spite of the fact that
the entire financial system was rigged in favor of the pros. The big
companies spoon-fed their scoops directly to the pros; the amateurs
were flying by radar. Even a 14-year-old boy could see how it
all worked, why some guy working for free out of his basement in
Jackson, Mo., was more reliable than the most highly paid analyst on
Wall Street. The companies that financial pros were paid to analyze
were also the financial pros' biggest customers. Xerox and AT&T and
the rest needed to put the right spin on their quarterly earnings. The
goal at the end of every quarter was for the newspapers and the cable
television shows and the rest to announce that they had "exceeded
analysts' expectations." The easiest way to exceed analysts'
expectations was to have the analysts lower them. And that's just what
they did, and had been doing for years. The guy in Carmel, Calif.,
confessed to Bloomberg that all he had to do to be more accurate on the
earnings estimates than Wall Street analysts was to raise all of them
10 percent. A year later, when the Internet bubble burst, the
hollowness of the pros only became clearer. The most famous analysts on
Wall Street, who just a few weeks before had done whatever they could
to cadge an appearance on CNBC or a quote in The Wall Street Journal to
promote their favorite dot-com, went into hiding. Morgan Stanley's Mary
Meeker, who made $15 million in 1999 while telling people to buy
Priceline when it was at $165 a share and Healtheon/WebMD when it
reached $105 a share, went silent as they collapsed toward zero.
Financial professionals had entered some weird new head space. They
simply took it for granted that a "financial market" was a collection
of people doing their best to get onto CNBC and CNNfn and into the
Heard on the Street column of The Wall Street Journal and the Lex
column of The Financial Times, where they could advance their narrow
self-interests. To anyone who wandered into the money culture
after, say, January 1996, it would have seemed absurd to take anything
said by putative financial experts at face value. There was no reason
to get worked up about it. The stock market was not an abstraction
whose integrity needed to be preserved for the sake of democracy. It
was a game people played to make money. Who cared if anything anyone
said or believed was "real"? Capitalism could now afford for money to
be viewed as no different from anything else you might buy or sell. Or, as Jonathan Lebed wrote to his lawyer:
"Every morning I watch Shop at Home, a show on cable television that
sells such products as baseball cards, coins and electronics. Don West,
the host of the show, always says things like, 'This is one of the best
deals in the history of Shop at Home! This is a no-brainer folks! This
is absolutely unbelievable, congratulations to everybody who got in on
this! Folks, you got to get in on the line, this is a gift, I just
can't believe this!' There is absolutely nothing wrong with him making
quotes such as those. As long as he isn't lying about the condition of
a baseball card or lying about how large a television is, he isn't
committing any kind of a crime. The same thing applies to people who
discuss stocks." ight
from the start, the S.E.C. treated the publicity surrounding the case
of Jonathan Lebed at least as seriously as the case itself. Maybe even
more seriously. The Philadelphia office had brought the case, and so
when the producer from "60 Minutes" called to say he wanted to do a big
segment about the world's first teenage stock market manipulator, he
called the Philadelphia office. "Normally we call the top and get
bumped down to some flack," says Trevor Nelson, the "60 Minutes"
producer in question. "This time I left a message at the S.E.C's
Philadelphia office, and Arthur Levitt's office called me right back."
Levitt, being the S.E.C. chairman, flew right up from Washington to be
on the show. To the S.E.C., it wasn't enough that Jonathan
Lebed hand over his winnings: he had to be vilified; people had to be
made to understand that what he had done was a crime, with real
victims. "The S.E.C. kept saying that they were going to give us the
name of one of the kid's victims so we could interview him," Nelson
says. "But they never did." I waited a couple of months for
things to cool off before heading down to Washington to see Arthur
Levitt. He was just then finishing up being the longest-serving
chairman of the S.E.C. and was taking a victory lap in the media for a
job well done. He was now 69, but as a youth, back in the 1950's and
1960's, he had made a lot of money on Wall Street. At the age of 62, he
landed his job at the S.E.C. -- in part, because he had raised a lot of
money on the street for Bill Clinton -- where he set himself up to
defend the interests of the ordinary investor. He had declared war on
the financial elite and pushed through rules that stripped it of its
natural market advantages. His single bravest act was Regulation FD,
which required corporations to release significant information about
themselves to everyone at once rather than through the Wall Street
analysts. Having first determined I was the sort of journalist
likely to see the world exactly as he did, he set out to explain to me
the new forces corrupting the financial markets. "The Internet has
speeded up everything," he said, "and we're seeing more people in the
markets who shouldn't be there. A lot of these new investors don't have
the experience or the resources or a professional trader. These are the
ones who bought that [expletive] that Lebed was pushing." "Do you think he is a sign of a bigger problem?"
"Yes, I do. And I find his case very disturbing . . . more serious than
the guy who holds up the candy store. . . . I think there's a
considerable risk of an anti-business backlash in this country. The era
of the 25-year-old billionaire represents a kind of symbol which is
different from the Horatio Alger symbol. The 25-year-old billionaire
looks lucky, feels lucky. And investors who lose money buying stock in
the company of the 25-year-old billionaire. . . . " He trailed off, leaving me to finish the thought. "You think it's a moral issue." "I do." "You think Jonathan Lebed is a bad kid?" "Yes, I do." "Can you explain to me what he did?"
He looked at me long and hard. I could see that this must be his
meaningful stare. His eyes were light blue bottomless pits. "He'd go
into these chat rooms and use 20 fictitious names and post messages. .
. . " "By fictitious names, do you mean e-mail addresses?" "I don't know the details." Don't know the details? He'd been all over the airwaves decrying the behavior of Jonathan Lebed.
"Put it this way," he said. "He'd buy, lie and sell high." The
chairman's voice had deepened unnaturally. He hadn't spoken the line;
he had acted it. It was exactly the same line he had spoken on "60
Minutes" when his interviewer, Steve Kroft, asked him to explain
Jonathan Lebed's crime. He must have caught me gaping in wonder
because, once again, he looked at me long and hard. I glanced away. "What do you think?" he asked.
Well, I had my opinions. In the first place, I had been surprised to
learn that it was legal for, say, an author to write phony glowing
reviews of his book on Amazon but illegal for him to plug a stock on
Yahoo just because he happened to own it. I thought it was -- to put it
kindly -- misleading to tell reporters that Jonathan Lebed had used "20
fictitious names" when he had used four AOL e-mail addresses and posted
exactly the same message under each of them so that no one who read
them could possibly mistake him for more than one person. I further
thought that without quite realizing what had happened to them, the
people at the S.E.C. were now lighting out after the very people -- the
average American with a bit of money to play with -- whom they were
meant to protect. Finally, I thought that by talking to me or
any other journalist about Jonathan Lebed when he didn't really
understand himself what Jonathan Lebed had done, the chairman of the
S.E.C. displayed a disturbing faith in the media to buy whatever he was
selling. But when he asked me what I thought, all I said was, "I think it's more complicated than you think." "Richard -- call Richard!" Levitt was shouting out the door of his vast office. "Tell Richard to come in here!"
Richard was Richard Walker, the S.E.C.'s director of enforcement. He
entered with a smile, but mislaid it before he even sat down. His mind
went from a standing start to deeply distressed inside of 10 seconds.
"This kid was making predictions about the prices of stocks," he said
testily. "He had no basis for making these predictions." Before I could
tell him that sounds a lot like what happens every day on Wall Street,
he said, "And don't tell me that's standard practice on Wall Street,"
so I didn't. But it is. It is still O.K. for the analysts to lowball
their estimates of corporate earnings and plug the stocks of the
companies they take public so that they remain in the good graces of
those companies. The S.E.C. would protest that the analysts don't
actually own the stocks they plug, but that is a distinction without a
difference: they profit mightily and directly from its rise. "Jonathan Lebed was seeking to manipulate the market," said Walker.
But that only begs the question. If Wall Street analysts and fund
managers and corporate C.E.O.'s who appear on CNBC and CNNfn to plug
stocks are not guilty of seeking to manipulate the market, what on
earth does it mean to manipulate the market? "It's when you promote a stock for the purpose of artificially raising its price."
But when a Wall Street analyst can send the price of a stock of a
company that is losing billions of dollars up 50 points in a day, what
does it mean to "artificially raise" the price of a stock? The law
sounded perfectly circular. Actually, this point had been well made in
a recent article in Business Crimes Bulletin by a pair of securities
law experts, Lawrence S. Bader and Daniel B. Kosove. "The casebooks are
filled with opinions that describe manipulation as causing an
'artificial' price," the experts wrote. "Unfortunately, the casebooks
are short on opinions defining the word 'artificial' in this context. .
. . By using the word 'artificial,' the courts have avoided coming to
grips with the problem of defining 'manipulation'; they have simply
substituted one undefined term for another." Walker recited, "The price of a stock is artificially raised when subjected to something other than ordinary market forces." But what are "ordinary market forces"?
An ordinary market force, it turned out, is one that does not cause the
stock to rise artificially. In short, an ordinary market force is
whatever the S.E.C. says it is, or what it can persuade the courts it
is. And the S.E.C. does not view teenagers' broadcasting their opinions
as "an ordinary market force." It can't. If it did, it would be
compelled to face the deep complexity of the modern market -- and all
of the strange new creatures who have become, with the help of the
Internet, ordinary market forces. When the Internet collided with the
stock market, Jonathan Lebed became a market force. Adolescence became
a market force. I finally came clean with a thought: the
S.E.C. let Jonathan Lebed walk away with 500 grand in his pocket
because it feared that if it didn't, it would wind up in court and it
would lose. And if the law ever declared formally that Jonathan Lebed
didn't break it, the S.E.C. would be faced with an impossible
situation: millions of small investors plugging their portfolios with
abandon, becoming in essence professional financial analysts,
generating embarrassing little explosions of unreality in every corner
of the capital markets. No central authority could sustain the illusion
that stock prices were somehow "real" or that the market wasn't, for
most people, a site of not terribly productive leisure activity. The
red dog would be off his leash. I might as well have strolled into the office of the drug czar and lit up a joint.
"The kid himself said he set out to manipulate the market," Walker
virtually shrieked. But, of course, that is not all the kid said. The
kid said everybody in the market was out to manipulate the market. "Then why did you let him keep 500 grand of his profits?" I asked. "We determined that those profits were different from the profits he made on the 11 trades we defined as illegal," he said.
This, I already knew, was a pleasant fiction. The amount Jonathan Lebed
handed over to the government was determined by haggling between Kevin
Marino and the S.E.C.'s Philadelphia office. The S.E.C. initially
demanded the $800,000 Jonathan had made, plus interest. Marino had
countered with 125 grand. They haggled a bit and then settled at 285. "Can you explain how you distinguished the illegal trades from the legal ones?" "I'm not going to go through the case point by point." "Why not?" "It wouldn't be appropriate."
At which point, Arthur Levitt, who had been trying to stare into my
eyes as intently as a man can stare, said in his deep voice, "This kid
has no basis for making these predictions." "But how do you know that?"
And the chairman of the S.E.C., the embodiment of investor confidence,
the keeper of the notion that the numbers gyrating at the bottom of the
CNBC screen are "real," drew himself up and said, "I worked on Wall
Street." Well. What do you say to that? He had indeed worked on Wall Street -- in 1968. "So did I," I said. "I worked there longer than you." Walker leapt back in. "This kid's father said he was going to rip the [expletive] computer out of the wall." I realized that it was my turn to stare. I stared at Richard Walker. "Have you met Jonathan Lebed's father?" I said.
"No I haven't," he said curtly. "But look, we talked to this kid two
years ago, when he was 14 years old. If I'm a kid and I'm pulled in by
some scary government agency, I'd back off." That's the
trouble with 14-year-old boys -- from the point of view of the social
order. They haven't yet learned the more sophisticated forms of
dishonesty. It can take years of slogging to learn how to feign respect
for hollow authority. Still! That a 14-year-old boy, operating
essentially in a vacuum, would walk away from a severe grilling by six
hostile bureaucrats and jump right back into the market -- how did that
happen? It occurred to me, as it had occurred to Jonathan's lawyer,
that I had taken entirely the wrong approach to getting the answer. The
whole point of Jonathan Lebed was that he had invented himself on the
Internet. The Internet had taught him how hazy the line was between
perception and reality. When people could see him, they treated him as
they would treat a 14-year-old boy. When all they saw were his thoughts
on financial matters, they treated him as if he were a serious trader.
On the Internet, where no one could see who he was, he became who he
was. I left the S.E.C. and went back to my hotel and sent him an e-mail
message, asking him the same question I asked the first time we met:
why hadn't he been scared off? Straight away he wrote back:
"It was about 2-3 months from when the S.E.C. called me in for the
first time until I started trading again. The reason I didn't trade for
those 2-3 months is because I had all of my money tied up in a stock. I
sold it at the end of the year to take a tax loss, which allowed me to
start trading again. I wasn't frightened by them because it was clear
that they were focused on whether or not I was being paid to profile
stocks when the fact is I was not. I was never told by them that I was
doing something wrong and I was never told by them not to do
something." y
September 1999, Jonathan Lebed was playing at the top of his game. He
had figured out the advantage, after he had bought shares in a small
company, in publicizing his many interests. "I came up with it myself,"
he said of the idea. "It was obvious from the newspapers and CNBC. Of
course stocks respond to publicity!" After he had picked and
bought his stock, he would write a single message about it and stick it
up in as many places on Yahoo Finance as he could between 5 and 8 in
the morning, when he left home for school. There were no explicit rules
on Yahoo Finance, but there were constraints. The first was that Yahoo
limited the number of messages he could post using one e-mail address.
He would click onto Yahoo and open an account with one of his four AOL
screen names; a few minutes later, Yahoo, mysteriously, would tell him
that his messages could no longer be delivered. Eventually, he figured
out that they must have some limit that they weren't telling people
about. He got around it by grabbing another of his four AOL screen
names and creating another Yahoo account. By rotating his four AOL
screen names, he found he could get his message onto maybe 200 Yahoo
message boards before school. He also found that when he went
to do it the next time, with a different stock, Yahoo would no longer
accept messages from his AOL screen names. So he was forced to create
four more screen names and start over again. Yahoo never told him he
shouldn't do this. "The account would be just, like, deleted," he said.
"Yahoo never had a policy; it's just what I figured out." The S.E.C.
accused Jonathan of trying to seem like more than one person when he
promoted his stocks, but when you see how and why he did what he did,
that is clearly false. (For instance, he ignored the feature on Yahoo
that enables users to employ up to seven different "fictitious names"
for each e-mail address.) It's more true to say that he was trying to
simulate an appearance on CNBC. Over time, he learned that
some messages had more effect on the stock market than others. "I
definitely refined it," he said of his Internet persona. "In the
beginning, I would write, like, very professionally. But then I started
putting stuff in caps and using exclamation points and making it sound
more exciting. That worked better. When it's more exciting, it draws
people's attention to it compared to when you write like, dull or
something." The trick was to find a stock that he could get excited
about. He sifted the Internet chat rooms and the shopping mall with
three things in mind: 1) "It had to be in the area of the stock market
that is likely to become a popular play"; 2) "it had to be undervalued
compared to similar companies"; and 3) "it had to be undiscovered --
not that many people talking about it on the message boards." ver
a couple of months, I drifted in and out of Jonathan Lebed's life and
became used to its staccato rhythms. His defining trait was that the
strangest things happened to him, and he just thought of them as
perfectly normal -- and there was no one around to clarify matters. The
threat of being prosecuted by the U.S. Attorney in Newark and sent away
to a juvenile detention center still hung over him, but he didn't give
any of it a second thought. He had his parents, his 12-year-old sister
Dana and a crowd of friends at Cedar Grove High School, most of whom
owned pieces of Internet businesses and all of whom speculated in the
stock market. "There are three groups of kids in our school," one of
them explained to me. "There's the jocks, there's the druggies and
there's us -- the more business oriented. The jocks and the druggies
respect what we do. At first, a lot of the kids are, like, What are you
doing? But once kids see money, they get excited." The first
time I heard this version of the social structure of Cedar Grove High,
I hadn't taken it seriously. But then one day I went out with Jonathan
and one of his friends, Keith Graham, into a neighboring suburb to do
what they liked to do most when they weren't doing business, shoot
pool. We parked the car and set out down an unprosperous street in
search of the pool hall. "Remember West Coast Video?" Keith said drolly. I looked up. We were walking past a derelict building with "West Coast Video" stenciled on its plate glass. Jonathan chuckled knowingly. "We owned, like, half the company."
I looked at him. He seemed perfectly serious. He began to tick off the
reasons for his investment. "First, they were about to open an Internet
subsidiary; second, they were going to sell DVD's when no other video
chain. . . . " I stopped him before he really got going. "Who owned half the company?" "Me and a few others. Keith, Michael, Tom, Dan." "Some teachers, too," Keith said.
"Yeah, the teachers heard about it," Jonathan said. He must have seen
me looking strangely at him because he added: "It wasn't that big a
deal. We probably didn't have a controlling interest in the company,
but we had a fairly good percentage of the stock." "Teachers?" I said. "The teachers followed you into this sort of thing." "Sometimes," Jonathan said.
"All the time," Keith said. Keith is a year older than Jonathan and
tends to be a more straightforward narrator of events. Jonathan will
habitually dramatize or understate some case and emit a strange
frequency, like a boy not quite sure how hard to blow into his new
tuba, and Keith will invariably correct him. "As soon as people at
school found out what Jonathan was in, everybody got in. Like right
way. It was, like, if Jonathan's in on it, it must be good." And then
the two boys moved on to some other subject, bored with the memory of
having led some teachers in the acquisition of shares of West Coast
Video. We entered the pool hall and took a table, where we were joined
by another friend, John. Keith had paged him. My role in
Jonathan Lebed's life suddenly became clear: to express sufficient
wonder at whatever he has been up to that he is compelled to elaborate.
"I don't understand," I said. "How would other kids find out what Jonathan was in?" "It's high school," said Keith, in a tone reserved for people over 35. "Four hundred kids. People talk." "How would the teachers find out?"
Now Keith gave me a look that told me that I'm the most prominent
citizen of a new nation called Stupid. "They would ask us!" he said. "But why?" "They saw we were making money," Keith said.
"Yeah," said Jonathan, who, odd as it sounds, exhibits none of his
friend's knowingness. He just knows. "I feel, like, that most of my
classes, my grades would depend not on my performance but on how the
stocks were doing." "Not really," Keith said. "O.K.," Jonathan said. "Maybe not that. But, like, I didn't think it mattered if I was late for class." Keith considered that. "That's true," he said. "I mean," Jonathan said, "they were making like thousands of dollars off the trades, more than their salaries even. . . . " "Look," I said, "I know this is a stupid question. But was there any teacher who, say, disapproved of what you were doing?" The three boys considered this, plainly for the first time in their lives. "The librarian," Jonathan finally said. "Yeah," John said. "But that's only because the computers were in the library, and she didn't like us using them." "You traded stocks from the library?"
"Fifth-period study hall was in the library," Keith said. "Fifth-period
study hall was like a little Wall Street. But sometimes the librarian
would say the computers were for study purposes only. None of the other
teachers cared." "They were trading," Jonathan said.
The mood had shifted. We shot pool and pretended that there was no more
boring place to be than this world we live in. "Even though we owned
like a million shares," Jonathan said, picking up the new mood. "It
wasn't that big a deal. West Coast Video was trading at like 30 cents a
share when we got in." Keith looked up from the cue ball. "When you got in," he said. "Everyone else got in at 65 cents; then it collapsed. Most of the people lost money on that one." "Hmmm," Jonathan said, with real satisfaction. "That's when I got out."
Suddenly I realized that the S.E.C. was right: there were victims to be
found from Jonathan Lebed's life on the Internet. They were right here
in New Jersey. I turned to Keith. "You're Jonathan's victim." "Yeah, Keith," Jonathan said, laughing. "You're my victim."
"Nah," Keith said. "In the stock market, you go in knowing you can
lose. We were just doing what Jon was doing, but not doing as good a
job at it." Michael Lewis, a contributing writer for the magazine, is making a television series about the Internet for the BBC.
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